Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000631 0.000718 0.000811 0.000916 0.001031 0.001154 0.001295
2025-10-05 0.000512 0.000636 0.000776 0.000945 0.001143 0.001365 0.001633
2025-10-12 0.000443 0.000584 0.000751 0.000962 0.001217 0.001514 0.001883
2025-10-19 0.000380 0.000529 0.000713 0.000953 0.001254 0.001615 0.002076
2025-10-26 0.000328 0.000481 0.000676 0.000940 0.001280 0.001698 0.002244
2025-11-02 0.000295 0.000452 0.000660 0.000948 0.001329 0.001809 0.002448
2025-11-09 0.000264 0.000423 0.000641 0.000950 0.001368 0.001905 0.002634
2025-11-16 0.000227 0.000382 0.000600 0.000918 0.001360 0.001939 0.002737
2025-11-23 0.000198 0.000348 0.000566 0.000894 0.001359 0.001978 0.002848
2025-11-30 0.000178 0.000327 0.000549 0.000890 0.001384 0.002053 0.003005
2025-12-07 0.000162 0.000309 0.000535 0.000890 0.001413 0.002133 0.003172
2025-12-14 0.000145 0.000289 0.000516 0.000880 0.001427 0.002192 0.003309
2025-12-21 0.000129 0.000268 0.000494 0.000865 0.001434 0.002240 0.003434
2025-12-28 0.000123 0.000264 0.000498 0.000891 0.001501 0.002376 0.003685
2026-01-04 0.000115 0.000256 0.000497 0.000908 0.001554 0.002493 0.003910
2026-01-11 0.000104 0.000241 0.000481 0.000900 0.001569 0.002554 0.004057
2026-01-18 0.000093 0.000225 0.000463 0.000887 0.001575 0.002602 0.004186
2026-01-25 0.000087 0.000217 0.000458 0.000895 0.001614 0.002699 0.004386
2026-02-01 0.000080 0.000208 0.000450 0.000896 0.001643 0.002780 0.004565
2026-02-08 0.000069 0.000190 0.000424 0.000866 0.001619 0.002781 0.004626
2026-02-15 0.000061 0.000174 0.000403 0.000843 0.001604 0.002795 0.004705
2026-02-22 0.000055 0.000166 0.000393 0.000839 0.001622 0.002858 0.004859
2026-03-01 0.000051 0.000158 0.000386 0.000839 0.001645 0.002931 0.005029